Oct. 27, 2022

8 Reasons we won’t have housing inventory armageddon any time soon

8 Reasons we won’t have housing inventory armageddon any time soon

Posted in blog article
Oct. 13, 2022

Real Producers Mag Sept '22 Cover Article

Posted in blog article
Oct. 13, 2022

September | Market Update

Sales of O‘ahu Homes Cool Amid Rising Mortgage Rates

Median sales prices remain relatively flat, active inventory builds gradually

Rising mortgage rates are weighing on home sales. Year-over-year, single-family home and condo sales dropped 34.4% and 19.3%, respectively, and compared to August 2022, single-family home sales were down 11.5%, while condo sales dipped 2.4%. Pending sales activity was also muted compared to last year, with contract signings falling 43.7% for single-family homes and 30.7% for condos.

Median sales prices remained relatively flat over the last several months and saw a slight bump up compared to the same time last year. In September, the single-family home median was $1,100,000, up 4.8%, while the condo median sales price was $502,500, a 5.1% increase from a year ago.
“With rising rates and inflation, buyers are reevaluating what they can afford, and this is having ripple effects across supply and demand in our local housing market,” said Chad Takesue, president of the Honolulu Board of REALTORS®. “Fortunately, our 10-year appreciation rates on O‘ahu have been historically favorable, so despite interest rates being about 6%, real estate is still a smart investment. It’s important to remember that the market varies from neighborhood to neighborhood, and housing opportunities are available for everyone.”

Posted in Housing Stats
Aug. 16, 2022

August | Market Update

Sales of O‘ahu Homes, Condos Fall Nearly a Quarter in July

Properties continue to move into contract quickly despite cooling demand

Closed sales in both single-family home and condominium markets declined by 22.8% year-over-year. Sales also slipped from a month ago, down 12.6% for single-family homes and 17.3% for condos.

“Demand continued to cool in July, likely due in part to the rise in interest rates,” said Chad Takesue, president of the Honolulu Board of REALTORS®. “However, properties are still moving into contract quickly with median days on the market at 11 days for single-family homes and 12 days for condos last month, despite the decline in sales.”

Pending sales were down year-over-year 31.4% for single-family homes and 26.4% for condos. Fewer new listings were added to the market compared to a year ago, with 386 single-family home listings, a 17.7% year-over-year decline, and 616 condo listings, down 7.2% from last July. However, the active inventory of single-family homes was 38.8% more than last year, and the active inventory of condos was up 8.4%.

Posted in Housing Stats
July 12, 2022

July | Market Update

Rising Interest Rates Cause Ripple Effects Across O‘ahu’s Housing Market
REALTORS® see decreased sales volume, reduced asking prices, active listings up for longer

Housing sales volume on O‘ahu declined in June, with single-family home sales down 20.8% and condos dropping 14.2% year-over-year. However, sales volume is still up compared to pre-pandemic 2019 levels, with single-family home sales up marginally at 9.2% and condos well ahead at 32.3%.

The median sales price of a single-family home increased 12.4% to $1,100,000 compared to last June. Condos set a new record for the second month in a row with a median sales price at $534,000, up 16.1% from a year ago and 3.4% above last month’s record of $516,500. Properties continue to move into escrow in under two weeks, though single-family homes spent 10 days on the market in June compared to just eight days last year, and condos remained steady at 11 days on the market.

Despite this quick pace, the volume of contract signings has subsided, with pending sales falling for three consecutive months, declining 27.7% for single-family homes and 24.8% for condos year-over-year.

“The rapid rise in interest rates is causing buyers to change tack and reevaluate their budgets and what they’re looking for in a home,” said Chad Takesue, president of the Honolulu Board of REALTORS®. “New listings are spending more time on the market compared to the frenzy in activity we witnessed last year. Sellers are also adjusting their strategies in response to market conditions. Over the past several months, we’re seeing more sellers decrease the asking price for their properties for single-family homes and condos,” Takesue added.


Posted in Housing Stats
June 20, 2022

June | Market Update

O‘ahu Housing Prices Continue to Tick Up, Setting New Records
Properties spend a near-record median of 10 days on the market

The single-family home market started to cool with closed sales dropping 15.1%, while the demand for condos remained steady with closed sales rising 15.1% compared to May 2021. Both markets saw median sales prices continuing to tick upwards, setting new records, with single-family homes reaching $1,153,500 and condos hitting $516,500. 

Single-family homes in the $600,000 to $999,999 price range represented the most significant decline in sales activity, dropping 41.2% compared to one year ago. Most regions across O‘ahu experienced a dip in sales, except for the Central region of Mililani and Wahiawa, which ended the month on a high note with a 61.9% increase in sales.
Condos in the more affordable price range of $300,000 to $599,999 represented 48.0% of closed sales in May, with a volume increase of 13.4% from one year ago. Condo sales in the $700,000 to $899,999 range more than doubled compared to May 2021, representing 17.6% of May closings. The Metro region accounted for the most significant increase in condo sales, up 21.9%, while the Ewa Plain area saw sales decline by 20.3%.

“As interest rates and median sales prices rise, the question of what people can afford is clearly impacting market dynamics,” said Chad Takesue, president of the Honolulu Board of REALTORS®“We see this reflected in the active inventory of single-family homes, which rose 39.8% from a year ago. Though we’re still lagging behind pre-pandemic levels, this increase in much-needed inventory gives prospective buyers more options to choose from across the various price points.”

Sales of single-family homes and condos are moving at a near-record pace, with properties spending a median of 10 days on the market in May. Sales closing above the original asking price continued in May, with 217 single-family homes and 313 condos selling for more than the original asking price. For single-family homes, this represents 63% of the month’s sales and 45.5% of May condo sales.


Posted in Housing Stats
May 10, 2022

April | Market Update

Oʻahu Home Sales Dip, Condominium Sales See Modest Increase
Single-family home and condo prices drop slightly from last month to $1,105,000 and $510,000

Year-over-year sales changed modestly from April 2021, with single-family home sales falling 2.7% and condo sales rising 4.2%. Single-family homes and condos marked a double-digit increase in the median sales price, with single-family homes recording a median of $1,105,000 in April, a 19.1% jump from the previous year, and the condo market reached $510,000, a 13.3% bump year-over-year.

Single-family homes in the $1,000,000 to $1,399,999 range saw the largest increase in sales volume, up 46%, while homes in the $700,000 to $999,999 price range made up approximately one-third of April’s sales, despite seeing a 26% drop year-over-year. The Ewa Plain accounted for the bulk of sales in both price ranges.
In the condo market, sales in the $700,000 to 999,999 range doubled from a year ago, up 101.6%. Condos sold in the $1,000,000 to $1,999,999 range saw the next highest gain, up 54.8%. The Metro region accounted for 60% of sales in April and the largest increase in volume, up 16.5% year-over-year. The Waipahu and Ewa Plain regions saw the most significant decline in sales, down 46.7% and 20.0%, respectively.
“As interest rates rise and financing becomes costlier, we saw pending sales begin to slow and a slight dip in month-to-month median prices in April,” said Chad Takesue, president of the Honolulu Board of REALTORS®“Still, high demand and low inventory continue to drive competition and put upwards pressure on sales prices.”


Posted in Housing Stats
April 13, 2022

March | Market Update

Single-Family Homes, Condos on O‘ahu Mark Record Median Sales Prices

Luxury sales pull the single-family home price to $1,150,000, while condos rise to $515,500

The first quarter of 2022 closed with new record median sales prices for both single-family homes and condos at $1,150,000 and $515,500, respectively. The March median sales price for single-family homes reflects a 21.1% increase from last year and is 2.2% above the previous record of $1,125,000 set just a month ago. The condo market’s median sales price of $515,500 represents a 14.3% hike compared to this time last year and a 1.1% increase from the prior record of $510,000 set in January 2022.

In March, single-family home sales fell 11.1% year-over-year, while the condo market sales volume remained strong with a 7.3% rise compared to March last year. Combined sales saw a modest bump, up 0.6% compared to March 2021 sales.

Fewer single-family homes were sold in March and the first quarter, with the most significant decline occurring in the $899,999 and below range, down 56.3% with just 70 closings in March. On the other end, the luxury single-family home market is picking up with 27 single-family homes sold in the $3 million and above range, marking a 68.8% jump year-over-year. In the condo market, sales in the $700,000 to $799,999 range recorded the highest volume increase, up 125.8%, with most of these sales occurring in the Metro and Ewa Plain regions.

“More luxury sales coupled with declining affordable inventory and sales are pulling the median price upwards in the single-family home market,” said Chad Takesue, president of the Honolulu Board of REALTORS®“It’s no surprise that rising prices are pushing more prospective buyers to consider condos, driving the steady and strong demand we’ve been seeing for these properties.”


Posted in Housing Stats
March 9, 2022

February | Market Update

Condos Outperform Single-Family Home Sales Following Seasonal Lull

Sparse inventory, sustained demand drives new record 
single-family home median price at $1,125,00

The single-family home market continues to lag behind condos in sales, with single-family home sales falling 7.3% compared to last February, while condo sales were up 9.0% year-over-year. Sparse inventory and sustained demand drove the median single-family home price to a new record high of $1,125,000, up 22.6% from this time last year and 7.1% higher than the previous record of $1,050,000 set in August 2021. The condo market saw a modest bump in the median sales price of $497,000, rising 8.6% from one year earlier.

Closed sales through the first two months of 2022 remain ahead of last year, increasing 2.9% for single-family homes and 23.9% for condos. Single-family homes in the $899,999 and below range saw the largest decline with a 54.0% drop compared to this time last year. On the other hand, condos continued to mark strong sales volume for the 15th month in a row with positive year-over-year sales growth, with properties sold at $500,000 and above accounting for most of the sales increases up 28.2%.

“We saw a typical dip in sales in January to February of this year, which we attribute to muted activity around the holiday season,” said Chad Takesue, president, Honolulu Board of REALTORS®. “Along with rising median sales prices for both markets, median list prices are also starting to tick up as sellers take advantage of the lack of competition.”


Posted in Housing Stats
Feb. 9, 2022

January | Market Update

Strong Demand Continues to Drive Oʻahu’s Housing Market in New Year

Condos set a new record median sales price of $510,000 

2022 began with a sharp jump in both single-family home and condo sales – combined, O‘ahu’s housing market saw a 28.6% sales increase compared to January 2021. While the single-family home median sales price held steady for the third consecutive month at $1,050,000, the condo market set a new monthly median sales price record of $510,000, surpassing the previous $500,000 set in August 2021.

Single-family home sales were up 12% year-over-year, while condo sales soared 40.8% compared to this time last year. Properties continued to move at a brisk pace, with single-family homes spending a median of 12 days on the market and 14 days for condos.

“Although sales are ahead of January 2021, we’re facing low inventory and rising interest rates that may temper the unprecedented market we saw throughout last year,” said Chad Takesue, president, Honolulu Board of REALTORS®. “However, as long as low inventory, near-record low interest rates and strong demand for housing remain, we’ll continue to see fierce competition and properties move off the market at a fast pace.”


Posted in Housing Stats